The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Cubs are 38-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 43-38 ATS.

Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 4-3, 2.90 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 6-2, 3.63 ERA

Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:

• Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
• Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
• Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
• Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
• William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-43 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -11.23% ROI).

• 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -7.44% ROI
• 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -15.85% ROI
• 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 7.36% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 43-38 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 1.47% ROI).

• 48-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 13.54% ROI
• 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 9.37% ROI
• 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -17.19% ROI

Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon allowed a batting average of .333 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed a .593 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .208 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (10/42) against Jameson Taillon this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Jameson Taillon — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (98/577) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .060 (3-for-50) against Colin Rea on sliders this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .080 (4 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on sliders this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 7 opportunities (43%) this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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