The Dallas Cowboys (6-3) visit U.S. Bank Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (8-1) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Minneapolis.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Cowboys vs. Vikings Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Cowboys vs. Vikings Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 11 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread this Week 11 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Cowboys and Vikings, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Cowboys Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Dalton Schultz has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Irv Smith has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 102% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alexander Mattison has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.95 Units / 43% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 10 games (+10.35 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 6-3 (+2.7 Units / 27.55% ROI).
- Cowboys are 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 29.06% ROI
- Cowboys are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Cowboys are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings have gone 4-4 (-0.5 Units / -4.98% ROI).
- Vikings are 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 48.12% ROI
- Vikings are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Vikings are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Cowboys are undefeated (5-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .520.
The Cowboys are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .567.
The Cowboys are undefeated (5-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .641.
The Cowboys are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Vikings are undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .585.
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) at home this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .559.