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The Cleveland Browns are favored over the Dallas Cowboys as the two teams prepare to battle in Week 1, with the latter among the long shots in the Super Bowl odds.
Will the Cowboys' offense play better on the road this season than it did last year? The answer to that question determines our Cowboys vs. Browns prediction for this week. The Cowboys were just 4-5 on the road last season.
Our best sports betting apps now have them as road underdogs against the Browns' tough defense. The Browns boasted the second-ranked pass defense last campaign. They earned a place in the postseason despite numerous offensive injuries, including to Nick Chubb and Deshaun Watson.
Can the defense hold one of the NFL's best offenses in check?
Best Cowboys vs. Browns picks
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL bet ting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Spread pick: Browns -2.5 (-105 via Caesars) vs. Cowboys ???
- Player prop: Dak Prescott Under 249.5 passing yards (-113 via FanDuel) ????
Cowboys vs. Browns spread prediction: Week 1
There isn't much value to be had in favoring one of our best sportsbooks, but Caesars is offering -105 for the Browns to cover while three of the other four major sportsbooks are posting -110. DraftKings is featuring -108 for the same spread.
I don't expect any value to appear before kickoff.
Prescott and the Cowboys' offense put up incredible numbers last season. Prescott ended the year with 4,516 passing yards, 36 touchdowns, and just nine interceptions, while his offense averaged a league-leading 30.1 points per game. But on the road they were a totally different squad.
While the Cowboys averaged 36.8 points per game at home, that went down to 23.3 on the road.
The passing attack also experienced significant problems. The club averaged 314.4 passing yards per game at home, which dropped to 217.1 on the road. And based on the Browns' defense, the Cowboys are likely to start this season struggling like they did a year ago.
The Browns' offense is still a little concerning, which is why this is only a three-star play. Watson is starting, but he was inconsistent last season and Chubb is still out.
However, the team's defense was incredible last year, and the unit should be again. Facing Prescott away from Dallas is huge, too.
The pass defense is going to keep Prescott in check, and the offense will do just enough to cover this small spread as part of our Week 1 NFL predictions.
Best odds: -105 via Caesars | I mplied probability: 51.22%
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Cowboys vs. Browns player prop
FanDuel is alone among our best sports betting sites while setting this total higher than 245.5. Best of all, it's offering the top price for the Under. Therefore, deciding where to place this wager is simple.
Prescott, who's a dark horse in the NFL MVP odds, threw for more than 250 yards in four of his nine road games last season. And in four of the five road games when he failed to throw for 250 yards, Prescott recorded fewer than 200. He only managed 134 against the Buffalo Bills.
The Browns' pass defense allowed just 171.1 passing yards per game last season. That went down to 126.3 at home. Cleveland weather won't play a factor this early in the season, but until I see Prescott and the Cowboys enjoy success on the road, we need to fade them.
I also think another premier Cowboys skill-position player will s truggle against Cleveland's defense, and outlined that argument in my CeeDee Lamb NFL player props.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
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Cowboys vs. Browns odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Cowboys vs. Browns game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 8
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Where: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 67 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 15-mph winds
- Favorite: Browns (-130 via DraftKings)
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