Connecticut vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13
Connecticut vs Massachusetts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

The UConn Huskies (2-9) visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium to take on the UMass Minutemen (3-8) on Nov. 25 in Amherst.

Connecticut is a betting favorite in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Connecticut vs. Massachusetts Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

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Connecticut vs Massachusetts Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Connecticut will win this game with 54.3% confidence.

Connecticut vs Massachusetts Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 72.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Connecticut and Massachusetts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.85 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+1.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.00 Units / 31% ROI)

  • Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 95% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Massachusetts has hit the 1H Moneyline in 1 of their last 5 games at home (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Best Connecticut Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Connecticut players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Devontae Houston has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Brett Buckman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Joseph Fagnano has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Zion Turner has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Justin Joly has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best Massachusetts Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Massachusetts players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taisun Phommachanh has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Taisun Phommachanh has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 43% ROI)

Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Connecticut is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.7 Units / -13.93% ROI).

  • Connecticut is 1-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -63.35% ROI
  • Connecticut is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
  • Connecticut is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI

Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Massachusetts is 5-6 against the spread this college football season (-1.65 Units / -13.52% ROI).

  • Massachusetts is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -26.13% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Massachusetts is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

UConn is winless (0-1) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .692

UConn is winless (0-19) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .445

UConn is 1-25 (.038) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: .398

UConn is winless (0-19) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .340

UMass is 3-21 (.107) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: .527

UMass is 1-6 (.143) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .695

UMass is 1-5 (.167) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .692

UMass is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: .449

  
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