The Washington Commanders visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Seattle.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this Week 10 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-115).
The Commanders vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Seahawks Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this Week 10 game with 78.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Seahawks, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this Week 10 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Will Dissly has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Seahawks vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Terry McLaurin | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Seahawks vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Howell | 14.5 -115 | 14.5 -115 |
| Brian Robinson Jr. | 43.5 -120 | 43.5 -110 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+6.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+4.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.05 Units / 36% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -15.73% ROI
- Commanders are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Commanders are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / ROI
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks went 4-3 (+0.7 Units / 7.95% ROI).
- Seahawks are 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 10.53% ROI
- Seahawks are 3-5 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Seahawks are 5-3 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Commanders are 4-18 (.182) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Commanders are 3-2 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .314.
The Commanders are 7-14-1 (.318) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .627.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .404.
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Seahawks are 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Seahawks are 3-1 (.750) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .610.
The Seahawks are 3-1 (.750) at home this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .553.
The Seahawks are 8-15 (.348) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .417.