The Washington Commanders (5-8) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (5-8) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.
The Jets are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Commanders vs. Jets Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Jets Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 16 game with 57.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence.
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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+3.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+2.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 5-8 (-3.75 Units / -24.27% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -46.56% ROI
- Commanders are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Commanders are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 5-8 (-3.55 Units / -23.59% ROI).
- Jets are 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -12.2% ROI
- Jets are 5-9 when betting the Over for -4.9 Units / -31.82% ROI
- Jets are 9-5 when betting the Under for +3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Commanders are winless (0-7) after a road win since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .452.
The Commanders are 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .343.
The Commanders are winless (0-3) since Week 12 — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Commanders are 2-6 (.250) after a loss this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .485.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Jets are winless (0-5) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Jets are 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 defenses this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .450.
The Jets are winless (0-6) when allowing 22 or more points this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .220.
The Jets are 1-4 (.200) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .635.