The Washington Commanders (3-3) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (1-5) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Commanders are betting favorites in this Week 7 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Commanders vs. Giants Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Giants Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Commanders will win this Week 7 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Giants will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Giants, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this Week 7 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Longest Rush Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Brian Robinson has hit the Carries Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Curtis Samuel has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Interceptions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- Daniel Jones has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+8.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+6.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Giants Best Bets:
- The New York Giants have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Giants have scored last in 10 of their last 19 games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Giants have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders went 3-3 (-0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Commanders are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -8.21% ROI
- Commanders are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Commanders are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants went 1-5 (-4.4 Units / -67.69% ROI).
- Giants are 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4 Units / -55.17% ROI
- Giants are 1-5 when betting the Over for -4.5 Units / -68.18% ROI
- Giants are 5-1 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants
The Commanders are winless (0-3) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .420.
The Commanders are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — eighth-best in NFL. The Giants have averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Commanders are 3-12 (.200) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .286.
The Commanders are 14-5-1 (.700) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .563.
New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Giants are winless (0-15) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .346.
The Giants are 4-15-1 (.200) on the road since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Giants are winless (0-4) when having a TO margin of -2 or worse since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .117.
The Giants are 1-3 (.250) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.