The Washington Commanders (4-5) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (8-0) on Nov. 14. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Philadelphia for Monday Night Football.
The Eagles are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -11 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 44 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 10 game with 85.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 10 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Eagles, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Zach Pascal has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Zach Pascal has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Dallas Goedert has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Dallas Goedert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Commanders Team Props for Week 10:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Eagles Team Props for Week 10:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 4-4 (-0.4 Units / -4.02% ROI).
- Commanders are 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -1.5% ROI
- Commanders are 3-6 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Commanders are 6-3 when betting the Under for +2.7 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles have gone 5-3 (+1.7 Units / 19.43% ROI).
- Eagles are 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 29.85% ROI
- Eagles are 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
- Eagles are 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Commanders are undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .537.
The Commanders are winless (0-5) when allowing 300 or more passing yards since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.