The Washington Commanders (1-2) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (2-1) on Oct. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Arlington.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Commanders vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 4 game with 57.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread this Week 4 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Logan Thomas has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dalton Schultz has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- CeeDee Lamb has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- James Washington has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.80 Units / 113% ROI)
Commanders Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 52% ROI)
Cowboys Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 1-2 (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Commanders are 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -30.14% ROI
- Commanders are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Commanders are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.69% ROI).
- Cowboys are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 91.67% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Cowboys are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Commanders are undefeated (5-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
The Commanders are 7-1 (.875) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .583.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.