The Washington Commanders (3-4) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (3-3) on Oct. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EDT in Indianapolis.
The Colts are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Commanders vs. Colts Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Colts Prediction for Week 8
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 8 game with 67.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 8 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Commanders and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Terry McLaurin has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+6.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Antonio Gibson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Heinicke has hit the Interceptions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+3.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Parris Campbell has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+3.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Commanders Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Colts Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders have gone 3-4 (-1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI).
- Commanders are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -5.63% ROI
- Commanders are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Commanders are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 3-4 (-1.35 Units / -17.88% ROI).
- Colts are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.78% ROI
- Colts are 1-6 when betting the Over for -5.6 Units / -72.73% ROI
- Colts are 6-1 when betting the Under for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Commanders are undefeated (5-0) vs bottom 10 run offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .540.
The Commanders are 3-0 (1.000) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 14 times this season — second-most in NFL.
The Commanders are 3-9 (.250) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .634.
The Commanders are 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Colts are winless (0-2-1) when playing in warm weather this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
The Colts are 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .271.