The Indianapolis Colts (0-0) visit NRG Stadium to take on the Houston Texans (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Houston.
The Colts are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Colts vs. Texans Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Texans Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Colts will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 56.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Texans, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 away games (+5.15 Units / 113% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Carries Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Texans Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.05 Units / 115% ROI)
- Nico Collins has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Completions Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 47% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | +280 |
| Michael Pittman | +700 |
| Nyheim Hines | +900 |
| Brandin Cooks | +900 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | +1000 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | -350 |
| Brandin Cooks | -140 |
| Michael Pittman | +110 |
| Dameon Pierce | +130 |
| Nyheim Hines | +155 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brandin Cooks | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -115 |
| Nico Collins | 41.5 -110 | 41.5 -115 |
| Parris Campbell | 30.5 -110 | 30.5 -115 |
| Alec Pierce | 37.5 -115 | 37.5 -115 |
| Nyheim Hines | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Texans vs Colts
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dameon Pierce | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
| Jonathan Taylor | 98.5 -110 | 98.5 -115 |
Colts Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Texans Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 games (+5.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Colts were 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for eighth-best in NFL. The Texans allowed an average of 143.1 rushing yards per game last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Colts were 9-4 (.692) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — tied for ninth-best in NFL. The Texans averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Colts were winless (0-4) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .357.
The Colts were winless (0-2) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .165.
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Texans were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.
The Texans were winless (0-8) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .357.