The Indianapolis Colts (3-4) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (4-4) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough.
The Patriots are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Colts vs. Patriots Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Patriots Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Patriots will win this Week 9 game with 67.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread this Week 9 with 54.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Patriots, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matt Ryan has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+5.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nyheim Hines has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Parris Campbell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 93% ROI)
- Mo Alie-Cox has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 52% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mac Jones has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Hunter Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Damien Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kendrick Bourne has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Colts Team Props for Week 9:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Moneyline in their last 6 games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Patriots Team Props for Week 9:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 65% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 63% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 3-5 (-2.35 Units / -27.49% ROI).
- Colts are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -13.33% ROI
- Colts are 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
- Colts are 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Patriots have gone 4-3 (+0.8 Units / 9.36% ROI).
- Patriots are 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -21.65% ROI
- Patriots are 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Patriots are 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Colts are 2-5-1 (.250) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
The Colts are undefeated (5-0) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .675.
The Colts are 2-7 (.222) when allowing 3 or more sacks since the 2021 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.