The Indianapolis Colts (0-1-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (0-1-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.
The Colts are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Colts vs. Packers Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 62.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Joe Flacco has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Josh Downs has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.10 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 35% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Colts went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Colts are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Colts are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Colts are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Packers went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Packers are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Packers are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Packers are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Colts were 7-2 (.778) when not throwing an interception last season — 10th-best in NFL. The Packers intercepted 7 passes last season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The Colts were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
The Colts are 3-5-1 (.333) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .731.
The Colts are 1-7-1 (.111) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .474.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Packers were 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .649.
The Packers were 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
The Packers were 2-1 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Packers were undefeated (4-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .604.