The Indianapolis Colts (3-2) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville.
The Jaguars are betting favorites in this Week 6 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Colts vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Colts vs. Jaguars Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 6 game with 57.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Colts will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Colts and Jaguars, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Colts Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Colts players this Week 6 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Travis Etienne has hit the Receptions Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 3-2 (+0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Colts are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 63% ROI
- Colts are 3-2 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
- Colts are 2-3 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 3-2 (+0.85 Units / 15.6% ROI).
- Jaguars are 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -6.52% ROI
- Jaguars are 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Colts were 1-10 (.091) when making less than 7 explosive plays in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.
The Colts are winless (0-3) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Colts are 3-8-1 (.250) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Colts are 2-14-1 (.118) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .375.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Jaguars are 12-5 (.706) when forcing 1 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — 10th-best in NFL. The Colts have turned the ball over 36 times since the 2022 season — tied for most in NFL.
The Jaguars are 1-7 (.125) when committing 60 or more yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .471.
The Jaguars are 3-21 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Jaguars are 2-8 (.200) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .475.