The Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) visit FBC Mortgage Stadium to take on the UCF Knights (3-0) on Sep. 28 in Orlando, FL. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
Central Florida is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -14 (-110).
The Colorado vs. UCF Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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Colorado vs UCF Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UCF will win this game with 85.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado and Central Florida, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Colorado vs UCF Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 66.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Colorado Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Colorado has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Colorado have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- Colorado has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- UCF has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Colorado Player Prop Bets Today
- Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Charlie Offerdahl has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Best Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Johnny Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Townsend has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
Colorado is 4-8 (.333) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .538
Colorado is 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 30th-worst in FBS; Average: .547
Colorado is 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 9th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .622
Colorado is 2-4 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-26th-worst in FBS; Average: .551
UCF is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .385
UCF is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .427
UCF is 1-3 (.250) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .513
UCF is 8-2 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-21st-best in FBS; Average: .632
UCF’s offense has 1,127 rushing yards this season — 2nd-most among FBS offenses. Colorado’s defense has allowed 603 rushing yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
UCF’s RBs has 12 rushing touchdowns this season — T-4th-most among FBS RBs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 6 rushing TDs this season — T-2nd-most among Big 12 defenses.