The Colorado State Rams (0-2) visit Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-2) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Murfreesboro.
Middle Tenn State is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Colorado State vs. Middle Tenn State Over/Under is 52.5 total points.
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Colorado State vs Middle Tenn State Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this game with 54.3% confidence.
Colorado State vs Middle Tenn State Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 75.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado State and Middle Tenn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Colorado State is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Colorado State is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
- Colorado State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Colorado State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
Middle Tenn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Middle Tenn State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Middle Tenn State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Middle Tenn State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Middle Tenn State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Colorado State is 1-15 (.062) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Colorado State is winless (0-16) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .337
Colorado State is winless (0-16) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .287
Colorado State is winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .429
Middle Tennessee is 2-6 (.250) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .458
Middle Tennessee is 3-1 (.500) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .390
Middle Tennessee is 5-3 (.625) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 25th-best in FBS; Average: .435
Middle Tennessee is 3-12 (.188) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2021 season– 17th-worst in FBS; Average: .395
Middle Tennessee’s WRs has averaged 28.3 targets per game this season — tied for 12th-highest among FBS WRs. Colorado State’s defense has allowed 26.5 receptions per game to WRs this season — worst among FBS defenses.
Middle Tennessee’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 105 attempts this season — tied for 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Colorado State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 12.4% of attempts this season — tied for 28th-best among FBS defenses.