Colorado St vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1
Colorado St vs Texas Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

The Colorado State Rams 0-0 visit Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium to take on the Texas Longhorns 0-0 on Aug. 31 in Austin, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Texas is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -32.5 (-110).

The Colorado State vs. Texas Over/Under is 59.5 total points.

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Colorado State vs Texas Prediction:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Colorado State vs Texas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Colorado St and Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.05 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 37% ROI)

  • Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Texas have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Texas has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Colorado State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.15 Units / 115% ROI)
  • Tory Horton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Quinn Ewers has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Quinn Ewers has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • CJ Baxter has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Colorado State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado St was 4-7 against the spread last college football season (-3.7 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • Colorado State was 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -15.38% ROI
  • Colorado State was 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Colorado State was 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas is 7-6 against the spread this college football season (+0.3 Units / 1.94% ROI).

  • Texas was 12-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.95 Units / 4.15% ROI
  • Texas was 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • Texas was 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI

Colorado State is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Colorado State is 4-13 (.235) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2022 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .393

Colorado State is 1-9 (.091) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Colorado State is 5-15 (.227) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season– T-23rd-worst in FBS; Average: .398

Texas was undefeated (8-0) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .461

Texas is 14-3 (.824) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Texas was undefeated (6-0) when not losing a fumble in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .456

Texas is 17-4 (.810) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .559

Texas’s TEs had 59 receptions in 14 games (4.2 per game) last season — 5th-best among Big 12 TEs. Colorado State’s defense allowed 24.9 receptions per game last season — worst among FBS defenses.

Texas’s QBs threw for 3,986 passing yards in 14 games (284.7 YPG) last season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Colorado State’s defense allowed 270.4 passing yards per game last season — 9th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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