Last week we had mediocre results. 5-5 ATS with only two underdog ML winners (Northern Illinois and Illinois). The underdogs went 3-3 ATS, and the only game that had a real sweat was Kansas losing 52-42. Everything else was pretty much in hand going into the 4th quarter. Favorites also had a subpar week going 2-2 ATS (2-2 ML), with Miami (OH) and James Madison losing outright. This really put a damper on any possible parlay combination. That brings our record to ATS (16-10-1 with seven ML underdog winners).
Check out Thor Nystrom's Week 8 College Football Power Rankings >>
For anyone reading this for the first time, the thought process is simple; we are targeting teams with a top-30 rush rate. We will look at four main advanced defensive statistics to measure how successful the matchup is: Defensive Stuff Rate, Defensive Line Yards, Defensive Rush Success Rate, and Defensive IsoPPP (explosiveness).