The calm before the storm is upon us, as Week 0 in college football offers a four-game appetizer this Saturday.
We're looking at which underdogs could surprise us right out of the gate with our college football upset picks for Week 0.
Throughout the regular season, I will most often be offering moneyline underdog plays as my college football upset picks, but it is more difficult to do that in Week 0, as none of the four games have spreads lower than 10.5 points.
The most anticipated of the four matchups takes place at noon E.T. on Saturday from Dublin, as the No. 10 Florida State Seminoles look to build off of last year's undefeated regular season when facing the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.
Besides Georgia Tech, though, which teams are we tracking across the best sports betting sites?
College football upset picks: Week 0
College football odds as of Wednesday and subject to change. Track the college football scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
- Georgia Tech +11 (-110 via BetRivers) vs. Florida State ????
- Nevada +25.5 (-112 via FanDuel) vs. SMU ???
- Delaware State +40.5 (-110 via FanDuel) at Hawaii ??
Week 0 upset predictions
College football picks made Wednesday; odds subject to change.
This Florida State-Georgia Tech matchup is the only one in Week 0 that will kick off outside of the United States. I expect the long trip to Dublin to be a neutralizer of talent in this matchup.
The best sports betting apps agree, as the Yellow Jackets shortened from 13.5-point underdogs at Caesars, bet365, and BetMGM earlier this summer.
I love underdogs with experienced quarterbacks early in the season, and Georgia Tech's Hayden King joined Heisman winner Jayden Daniels as the only Power 5 quarterbacks with 2,500 passing yards and 700 rushing yards last season.
Though all the other best sportsbooks offer the Yellow Jackets as +10.5, the extra half-point available at BetRivers provides plenty of value. A winning $10 wager at -110 odds pays out $19.09.
Best odds: -110 via BetRivers | Implied probability: 52.38%
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SMU figures to take a big step in class as a first-time member of the ACC this year. The explosive Mustangs from a year ago won't exactly “tune up” against a Nevada defense that returns more than three-quarters of its production in its secondary in terms of pass breakups and pressures from last year's squad.
Considering the game has an O/U as low as 55.5 and the Under is 8-5 in SMU's 13 road games with Rhett Lashlee as head coach, I expect the Wolf Pack to score enough to cover this big number.
This line has plummeted this week, as there were plenty of +27s available as recently as Monday afternoon. However, there is still value with FanDuel's line of +25.5, as other sites with the best sportsbook promos have lowered to +24.5.
A winning $10 wager at FanDuel's -112 odds returns $8.93 in profits.
Best odds: -112 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.83%
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This bet is simply due to the small Week 0 slate (hence the two-star play), as I try to avoid late-night bets involving Hawaii since those often reek of desperation and chasing losses from earlier in the day.
However, I am still eager to benefit from those bettors' affinities for Hawaii, especially as the home team. Also, we're getting a much better number on Wednesday than we would have earlier in the week.
Delaware State was most commonly a +38 or +38.5 underdog as of Monday, and FanDuel is the only of our best live betting sites at which you can get better than +40 now.
FanDuel surprisingly is not charging more than the standard -110 vig to take advantage of a point spread that is a full two points better than one of its competitors (bet365 still has Hawaii as a 38.5-point favorite).
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%
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