We’re in for another fine installment of the Red River Rivalry, as Texas and Oklahoma will meet on Saturday with massive stakes on the line. The winner essentially has a clean path ahead to the Big 12 title game, while the looser will have plenty of work to do to remain in Big 12 and College Football Playoff contention. This is a spot where the underd og could be barking in a rivalry game, but I’m more inclined to back the favorite in this contest.'
Here is my Oklahoma vs Texas Same Game Parlay for tonight’s matchup, which will be televised starting at 12:00 pm ET on ABC. Also, be sure to check out our full Oklahoma vs Texas predictions.
One of the benefits of Same Game Parlays, of course, is that you can correlate the plays. That is some of the plan here, as a Texas win and cover can correlate with the under, and I believe it also correlates with Dillon Gabriel going over his rushing yards. Let’s get into it.'
Texas Longhorns -6.5 alt spread over Oklahoma Sooners (+106)
Prior to the season I was all in on Texas to win the conference, and I won’t waver in this matchup. Steve Sarkisian's offense is as efficient as ever, with elite talent at the skill positions and a very confident version of Quinn Ewers. Even with Texas' season-long success on paper (15th in EPA per pass, 19th in EPA margin, 16th in points per quality possession), the Longhorns still left points on the board against Alabama and Kansas, a pair of games that they won in convincing fashion. Furthermore, Texas fields a terrific defense, sitting at 5th in passing success rate, 7th in rush success rate and 7th in net points per drive per CFB-Graphs. Dillon Gabriel and Oklahoma's offense did struggle at times against SMU and Cincinnati, so I find it hard to believe that they’ll get going against a Texas front seven that is a havoc machine.