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For starters, we are not making this more than a three-star play, as Villanova point guard Mark Armstrong is just 1-for-9 from 3-point range this season. However, the Wildcats shoot 49.2% of their shots from beyond the arc (ninth-most in D-I), and seven Wildcats have made at least five 3-pointers on the season. While perimeter shooting may not be Armstrong's forte after shooting 24.6% from beyond the arc last year, he did have the sixth-most 3-point attempts on the team, and sheer volume would dictate that Armstrong will get in on Villanova's 3-point barrage sooner than later.
Expect the Wildcats to fire away more than usual from deep tonight, as Saint Joseph's is much better at defending the paint (23rd in 2-point percentage allowed) than the perimeter (108th in 3-point percentage allowed). And in a game where Villanova is favored by 14.5 points, we expect Kyle Neptune to give Armstrong plenty of minute s at the end to bring him along and get him up to speed with the rest of the team's veteran players.
Bettors can find plus-money odds for Armstrong to make at least one 3-pointer at both DraftKings and bet365.