After going a combined 6-2 with our college basketball plays over the weekend, we are looking to continue that success with Tuesday's solid slate, and we have you covered with our daily college basketball player props and best bets based on the best college basketball odds.
While there was much reshuffling in this week's AP poll compared to last week, the top two spots remained the same with No. 1 UConn and No. 2 Purdue combining to receive all of the 61 first-place votes.
Nine ranked teams are in action on a loaded Tuesday slate, highlighted by the only matchup of two ranked teams when No. 21 BYU hosts No. 4 Houston. That matchup speaks to the depth of the Big 12, as either Houston will have three conference losses or BYU will drop its fourth game in league play.
Here are our college basketball player props and best bets for Tuesday (odds via our best March Mad ness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Tuesday's college basketball best bets
- Max Abmas (Texas) Under 16.5 points vs. Oklahoma (-115 via DraftKings) ???
- Dallin Hall (BYU) Over 4.5 assists vs. Houston (-120 via DraftKings) ????
- Louisville +14.5 vs. Duke (-120 via FanDuel) ???
- Texas A&M -10.5 vs. Missouri (-120 via FanDuel) ????
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Tuesday's college basketball schedule and odds
(Odds via Caesars)
- Dayton vs. La Salle | Spread: Dayton -9 | Total: 141
- Duke vs. Louisville | Spread: Duke -14 | Total: 152
- Kentucky vs. South Carolina | Spread: Kent ucky -4.5 | Total: 155.5
- Wisconsin vs. Minnesota | Spread: Wisconsin -4.5 | Total: 141.5
- Texas vs. Oklahoma | Spread: Oklahoma -4 | Total: 145
- Xavier vs. Creighton | Spread: Creighton -8 | Total: 147.5
- Michigan vs. Purdue | Purdue -17.5 | Total: 152.5
- Houston vs. BYU | Houston -2.5 | Total: 135.5
- TCU vs. Oklahoma State | TCU -4.5 | Total: 145
Tuesday's college basketball player props
Max Abmas is enjoying a successful season in his first campaign with the Texas Longhorns, leading the team in scoring at 17.7 points per game. He did not get many opportunities to face ranked teams while at Oral Roberts, but in his last seven games against top-27 KenPom teams dating back to the start of last season, he has ended with the following point totals: 15, 25, 5, 12, 3, 14, 15.
Thus, he cashed the Over on this projected total only once in that span and now faces an Ok lahoma team (ranked 21st in KenPom) that has allowed just two opponents to top 70 points on its home floor this season
Abmas has scored 15 points in three of the previous four games, and while he is shooting 45.7% from 3-point range in the last five games, the Sooners have held their five Big 12 opponents to just 26% shooting from beyond the arc. That's the second-best mark in conference play.
Since Abmas has shot two or fewer free throw attempts in four of five games against Big 12 competition, the ceiling is much lower for his point total if he is not lighting it up from 3-point range. We don't expect Porter Moses' squad to allow him to do so on Tuesday.
We are not usually in the habit of backing players' Overs on their props against Houston, the top defensive team in the country in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage, and 2-point percentage allowed. However, t he 135.5-point projected total for this game is the second-highest O/U in the last 10 Houston games. BYU also plays one of the most unique styles that Houston will see all season, which should help lead to the Cougars' offensive success.
Dallin Hall scored in double figures in just two of the first seven games of the season, but has elevated his game lately, with 10-plus points in four of five Big 12 games. He has been on fire from the perimeter, making seven of his last 11 3-point attempts, and ranks 17th in the conference in KenPom's effective field goal percentage metric.
However, Hall's increased scoring also created an uptick in assists, and he has six or more dimes in three straight games, after reaching that plateau in four of the first 15 games.
This is a confident four-star play, as BYU ranks third in the country with assists on 66% of its field goals, while Houston ranks dead-last by al lowing assists on 65.4% of opponents' baskets. Hall is the Cougars' best shot creator and playmaker, and the ball should be in his hands plenty to dish out assists against Houston's condensed pack line defense.
Tuesday's college basketball game picks
Duke is coming off a shocking 80-76 loss at Cameron Indoor Stadium to Pittsburgh over the weekend, and is now just 11-18 ATS in ACC play in the Jon Scheyer era. The Blue Devils are still 4-2 SU through six league games, but even before their loss to the Panthers, it was fair to wonder if they were a tad overrated.
They lost on the road to Georgia Tech and snuck out a road win at Notre Dame, and a home win against the Yellow Jackets in the rematch by single digits.
Many of Duke's issues against Pittsburgh stemmed from the fact that it was without two starters, Jeremy Roach and Mark Mitchell, who are each in the top three on the team in scoring and average a combined 26.8 points per game. Duke beat writer Stephen Wiseman indicated that Scheyer was hopeful both could play if they were able to practice Monday, but either way, they likely wouldn't be 100%. This would become a more confident four-star play if they are not available.
Louisville may have lost three straight and six of the last seven games but has covered three of the previous four. The Cardinals most impressively shot 49.1% from the floor on the road at North Carolina, including making 8 of 18 3-pointers against a Tar Heels defense that ranks fourth in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency.
Thus, Louisville should be able to hang tough at home against Duke, especially if the Blue Devils are again without two starters.
Despite FanDuel charging the highest juice to back the underdogs, we are still making it our sportsbook of choice, as all of our other& nbsp;best sports betting apps offer +13.5 or +14.
Texas A&M impressively avenged a 15-point home loss to LSU earlier this month with a gritty 73-69 road win in Baton Rouge over the weekend.
Despite entering the weekend just 10-7, the Aggies ranked second in ShotQuality's adjusted rankings, and the team has four losses to FAU, Virginia, Memphis, and Arkansas that ShotQuality's analytics graded as wins. Accordingly, we expect that positive regression to continue, starting with this week's home test against Missouri.
The Aggies are relentless on the offensive glass, and own the nation's best offensive rebounding rate (44.1%). That is an area of real concern for Missouri backers, as the Tigers rank 334th in the country in allowing their opponents to secure 34.3% of their own misses (that number rises to 35.2% in SEC play).
The Aggies also showed they were more than just Wade Taylor in their road win at LSU, as Taylor was coming off 72 points scored in the previous two games, but was limited to a season-low 21 minutes in Baton Rouge.
This is a four-star play, as Texas A&M is a profitable 17-9 ATS in SEC games since the start of last season. We would play this number up to -11, but as long as we can get a better number we will pay up for it, as FanDuel is the only shop offering a line of -10.5.
College basketball best bets made 1/22/2024 at 9:07 p.m. ET
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