Virginia Cavaliers (25-6, 15-5 ACC) vs. Duke Blue Devils (25-8, 14-6 ACC)
- Date: Saturday, Mar. 11, 2022
- Start Time: 8:30'p.m. ET
- Location: Greensboro Coliseum – Greensboro, NC
- Coverage:'ESPN
- Last Meeting: February 11, 2023 – Virginia defeated Duke 69-62 in Charlottesville.
- Moneyline: UVA: (+125) | DUKE: (-150)
- Point Spread: UVA: +2.5 (-105) | DUKE: -2.5 (-115)
- Total: 123.5 – Over 123.5: (-105) | Under 123.5: (-115)
- Virginia 2022-23 Betting Trends: 12-17-2 ATS; 16-15 to the Over
- Duke 2022-23 Betting Trends: 14-19 ATS; 13-19-1 to the Over
- Virginia is 4-0 ATS in its last four neutral site games
- Virginia is 7-1-1 ATS its last nine games against teams with a winning percentage over .600
- Duke is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against teams with a winning straight up record
- Duke is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win
- The under is 7-2 in Virginia’s last nine neutral site games
- The over is 19-6-1 in Virginia’s last 26 Saturday games
- The under is 5-2 in Duke’s last seven neutral site games
- The under is 7-3-1 in Duke’s last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage over .600
This was the championship matchup oddsmakers predicted, as the Blue Devils (+280) and Cavaliers (+300) were the top two teams with the shortest odds pre-tournament. These two teams are also heavyweights of the conference in recent years, as either Duke or Virginia has competed for an ACC tournament championship in five of the last six years. This is the first time these two teams have met in the conference championship since 2014 when Virginia beat Duke 72-63 in Greensboro.
Virginia started to raise some doubts that it was a serious ACC tournament contender with how it played for much of February. After a seven-point home overtime win against Duke, the Cavaliers beat ACC bottom-feeders Louisville and Notre Dame by a combined five points. They then lost consecutive games at Boston College and North Carolina by a combined 23 points and had won just one game away from home entering this tournament since the calendar turned to February. In addition, even Virginia’s win over Duke was not without controversy, as a foul that would have sent Duke’s Kyle Filipowski to the free-throw line to win the game with no time left in regulation was overturned, as it was ruled that it came after the buzzer.