The Dallas Mavericks return home for Game 6 looking to oust the Los Angeles Clippers, and we're offering our expert Clippers vs. Mavericks player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Los Angeles Clippers (51-31) are hanging by a thread as they head to American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, to take on the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) after a dismal 123-93 defeat in Game 5.
Game 6 tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN) on Friday, and the status of Kawhi Leonard is uncertain.
Accordingly, the Mavericks are 7.5-point favorites across our best sports betting sites. Luka Doncic is coming off his best performance of the series and can bolster his NBA Finals MVP odds by ending L.A.'s season.
To accompany our Bucks vs. Pacers player props, Knicks vs. 76ers player props, and Cavaliers vs. Magic player props, here are our best Cl ippers vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Clippers vs. Mavericks Game 6 player props
- Luka Doncic Over 33.5 points (+100 via DraftKings) ???
- Kyrie Irving Over 4.5 assists (-122 via FanDuel) ????
- Paul George Under 24.5 points (-113 via FanDuel) ???
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Clippers vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Friday
It's been a disappointing series for Doncic in terms of shooting, but he's coming off his best scoring output against the Clippers with 35 points. While his 3-point shot still isn't falling at its regular clip (26.3%), it hasn't impacted his willingness.
Doncic is like a bellcow running back, getting 25 to 30 carries a game. He's going to have an absurdly high usage rate (42.4 minutes, 25.4 field goals in the series), and eventually, the dam will break. It broke in Game 5, and now, with the chance to end the series, I expect Doncic to put the offense on his back.
Throughout the series, Doncic's points line has hovered around 33.5, but the odds have never been this long. That +100 price is too good to pass up with a 50% implied probability, according to our odds calculator, and a $10 bet leading to a $10 profit.
Best odds: +100 via DraftKings
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You know the Clippers are down bad when Kyrie Irving and Doncic combined to go 3-for-15 from behind the arc and the Mavericks still win by 30. While Irving may have rewound the clock in Game 4, he couldn't hit Jerry Jones' bus is if it were parked right in front of him in Game 5.
Still, Irving was effective setting others up in Game 5 and has showcased his court vision and passing prowess throughout the series. He's averaging 4.8 assists through five games, but has finished with at least five in each of the last three games.
Considering that Irving averaged 5.2 assists per game in the regular season, I think this prop is a great value. It's as short as -139 at our other best sportsbooks, implying a 58.14% probability it hits. But at our price, a $10 bet pays out $18.20.
Best odds: -122 via FanDuel
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As it turns out, throwing a bunch of aging future Hall of Famers together on a roster and hoping they'll all stay healthy and capable for 80-plus games isn't the best roster-building strategy. At 34, Paul George doesn't seem to have the legs to pick up the slack with Leonard out.
George is averaging only 19.8 points in the series and has scored more than 22 just once. In two of his last three games, George shot below 31% from the floor and put up 22 total points in those two games.
Unless he gets scorching hot from 3-point range again, as he did in Game 4, to keep LA alive, he might want to start thinking about declining his player option for next season. The -113 odds imply a 53.05% probability the Under hits with a $10 bet, paying out $18.85.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel
Clippers vs. Mavericks Game 6 info & odds
- When: Friday, May 3
- Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: Mavericks -7.5 (-110 via bet365)
Clippers-Mavericks player props made Thursday at 12:15 p.m. ET.
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