The Kansas City Chiefs (13-3) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (6-10) on Saturday, Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Las Vegas.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Raiders Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 18 game with 83.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 18 with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+5.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receptions Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+4.70 Units / 23% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 6-10 (-5.10 Units / -28.8% ROI).
- Chiefs are 13-3 when betting on the Moneyline for 8.35 Units / 12.48% ROI
- Chiefs are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chiefs are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 8-8 (-0.8 Units / -4.5% ROI).
- Raiders are 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.2 Units / -33.2% ROI
- Raiders are 9-7 when betting the Over for 1.3 Units / 7.4% ROI
- Raiders are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for fifth-best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 6 passes this season — third-fewest in NFL.
The Chiefs are 7-2 (.778) when rushing less than 25 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .315.
The Chiefs are 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for second-best in NFL. The Raiders have averaged just 1.6 sacks per game over that time span — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 19-4 (.826) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .495.
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Raiders are 1-4 (.200) when making less than 7 explosive plays this season — tied for 4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .401.