The Kansas City Chiefs visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20pm EST in Green Bay.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Week 13 matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Packers Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this Week 13 game with 70.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 56.6% confidence.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this Week 13 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Passing Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Watson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Romeo Doubs has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- A.J. Dillon has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.50 Units / 40% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Chiefs
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | +550 |
| Isiah Pacheco | +550 |
| AJ Dillon | +900 |
| Romeo Doubs | +1100 |
| Rashee Rice | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Packers vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | -140 |
| Isiah Pacheco | -140 |
| Romeo Doubs | +130 |
| Christian Watson | +150 |
| Jayden Reed | +160 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Travis Kelce | 70.5 -110 | 70.5 -120 |
| Justin Watson | 29.5 -110 | 29.5 -120 |
| Noah Gray | 13.5 -110 | 13.5 -120 |
| Tucker Kraft | 26.5 -115 | 26.5 -115 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 16.5 -115 | 16.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 21.5 -120 | 21.5 -110 |
| Jordan Love | 15.5 -120 | 15.5 -110 |
| AJ Dillon | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
| Isiah Pacheco | 68.5 -115 | 68.5 -115 |
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs went 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 21.4% ROI).
- Chiefs are 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 2.93% ROI
- Chiefs are 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
- Chiefs are 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 6-5 (+0.5 Units / 4.1% ROI).
- Packers are 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 14.05% ROI
- Packers are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Packers are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Chiefs are undefeated (3-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .452.
The Chiefs are 8-2 (.800) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — seventh-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 138.6 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 13-4 (.765) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .303.
The Chiefs are undefeated (6-0) after a loss since the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .467.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Packers are winless (0-5) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .462.
The Packers are 4-1 (.800) when forcing at least one fumble this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .617.
The Packers are 2-5 (.286) when committing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Packers are 2-4 (.333) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .286.