The Kansas City Chiefs (7-2) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Chargers (5-4) on Nov. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Inglewood.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -7 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Chargers Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 11 game with 78.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 11 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Chargers, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Best Chargers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chargers players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Interceptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Completions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets for Week 11:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 93% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 4-5 (-1.55 Units / -15.58% ROI).
- Chiefs are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 14.96% ROI
- Chiefs are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / ROI
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers have gone 6-3 (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Chargers are 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -12.38% ROI
- Chargers are 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
- Chargers are 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Chiefs are undefeated (10-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .534.
The Chiefs are 3-1 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .410.
The Chiefs are 13-3 (.812) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Chiefs are 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2020 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .202.
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Chargers are 1-2 (.333) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game this season — tied for 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .455.
The Chargers are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .567.