The Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers get together for a Week 4 showdown at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. Kansas City is favored by one point at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 45 (see up-to-date'odds for every game this week on our NFL odds page). Before making any Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks, you NEED to check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model..
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.'
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.
The model knows the Chiefs are elite on offense. Kansas City is in the top five of the NFL in scoring offense, scoring percentage, points per drive, and sack allowance this season. The Chiefs, keyed by Patrick Mahomes, are also difficult to stop through the air, with top-tier metrics in passing yards, passing touchdowns, net yards per pass attempt, and interception avoidance. The model also knows that the Buccaneers are excelling on defense. Tampa Bay is leading the league in scoring defense, giving up only 9.0 points per game, and opponents are sco ring only 0.75 points per drive. No team has created more turnovers (eight) than the Buccaneers, and Tampa Bay is giving up only 289 total yards per game.