The game of the weekend is without a doubt the Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) traveling to Buffalo to take on the Bills. This game is a showdown of 2 titans at quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen. Both teams have question marks heading into this game. The Bills have a lengthy injury report: Stefon Diggs (foot), Gabe Davis (knee), Terrel Bernard (knee), Christian Benford (knee) and Taylor Rapp (ca lf). Some of these guys will play in the Divisional Round and some may not suit up at all.
On the Kansas City side, it's less about their injuries and more about question marks surrounding the talent level of the team. Defensively, they're light years ahead of where they were during their last 2' Super Bowl runs, but offensively there are problems at the playmaker positions: which WR will step up outside of rookie Rashee Rice? Does Travis Kelce have one foot out the door and follow his brother into retirement?' You can read our NFL picks for every Divisional Round game this weekend, but for now, let's look at my favorite player prop bets for Chiefs vs Bills.
Patrick Mahomes (KC) over 4.5 rush attempts (+102)'
Mahomes has hit this in 7 of 15 career playoff games (in all 3 Super Bowl appearances and 1 against Buffalo in 2021). The Bills’ defense has been destroyed with injuries to their linebackers and secondary. Mahommes hit this in 8/17 games in the regular season and this line is -125 on the other retail books such as FanDuel and DraftKings. Another fun aspect to this is that kneel-downs count as rush attempts. Whether that means victory formation or going into halftime, those plays get us rush attempts logged.