The Kansas City Chiefs (9-2) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) on Dec. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Cincinnati.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Chiefs vs. Bengals Over/Under is 52.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Bengals Prediction for Week 13
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 13 game with 65.8% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 13 with 61.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chiefs and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire has hit the Carries Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 57% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games (+4.40 Units / 105% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+7.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Samaje Perine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Interceptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.25 Units / 38% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets for Week 13:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 19 games (+12.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-6 (-1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI).
- Chiefs are 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 14.59% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
- Chiefs are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bengals have gone 8-3 (+4.55 Units / 37.14% ROI).
- Bengals are 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -9.58% ROI
- Bengals are 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -21.81% ROI
- Bengals are 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.28% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for third-best in NFL. The Bengals have averaged just 1.5 sacks per game over that time span — tied for third-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs are 4-2 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .304.
The Chiefs are undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .624.
The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .591.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Bengals are 8-3 (.727) when not forcing a turnover since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .273.
The Bengals are undefeated (5-0) when leading at the end of first quarter this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .612.