The Los Angeles Chargers (2-0-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0-0) on Sep. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Steelers Over/Under is 35.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
- D.J. Chark has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Hayden Hurst has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Steelers vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 26.5 -110 | 26.5 -120 | |
| Array | 49.5 -115 | 49.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Steelers vs Chargers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Array | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -120 |
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+3.25 Units / 29% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored first in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Chargers went 2-0 (+2 Units / 95.24% ROI).
- Chargers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 53.33% ROI
- Chargers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Chargers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Steelers went 2-0 (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).
- Steelers are 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 106% ROI
- Steelers are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Steelers are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Chargers were winless (0-9) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Chargers were 1-4 (.200) when playing in cold weather last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chargers are 1-4 (.200) when playing in cold weather since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Steelers are 8-2 (.800) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent since the 2023 season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Chargers has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 19 s since the 2023 season — 4th-highest in NFL.
The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Steelers were undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .573.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when passing for more than 250 yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .582.