The NFL's Week 15 slate kicks off with an AFC West matchup between the Las Vegas Raiders and the Los Angeles Chargers, and we have you covered with our Chargers vs. Raiders prediction for Thursday Night Football based on the best NFL odds.
Experiencing a downward trend, the Los Angeles Chargers (5-8) have lost four of their last five games. Thursday Night Football might not offer much relief as they face the Las Vegas Raiders (5-8) in a matchup of backup QBs. In Week 14, the Chargers endured a 24-7 home loss to the Denver Broncos, extending their home losing streak to three games – the longest home losing skid under coach Brandon Staley.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Vikings secured victory in a 3-0 rock fight against Las Vegas, setting the stage for the NFL's lowest-scoring game since 2007. This outcome represented the Raiders' first home shutout since 2011. Fol lowing their first two victories under interim head coach Antonio Pierce, Las Vegas has faced a three-game losing streak.
In conjunction with our Aidan O'Connell player props and Chargers vs. Raiders NFL player props, here is our best Chargers vs. Raiders prediction and our NFL picks (TNF odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Chargers vs. Raiders prediction
Both the Chargers and Raiders are among the most profitable Under teams this season, with each cashing the Under in 10 of 13 games. We were tempted to back the Under again, especially with Justin Herbert not under center for Los Angeles after suffering a season-ending injury. Read about how his backup will fare in Andrew Brennan's Easton Stick player props.
However, we do not trust Unders with Brandon Staley on the sidelines as he is known to gamble on fourth downs anywhere on the field. Instead, we are backing the Raiders and expect a lackluster performance from the Chargers, who may be p laying for a lame duck head coach at the moment.
Las Vegas entered last week ranked in the top 13 in defensive DVOA over the previous five weeks, including a top 10 ranking against the pass. However, whatever concerns bettors may have in the Raiders run defense should be mitigated by watching the Chargers' porous offensive line play, as they ran the ball for just 76 yards last week and have the worst run-blocking grade in the league.
Los Angeles also allowed six sacks to six different players, which was a big reason it went 0-for-12 on third down. Las Vegas may be averaging just 10 points per game during its three-game losing streak, but its players are fighting harder under interim head coach Antonio Pierce (2-3 in his five games) than the Chargers are under Staley.
Since moving to Las Vegas, the Raiders are 17-15 ATS at home as opposed to 13-19 ATS in road or neutral-site games. Los Angeles is .500 ATS or better on the road in 11 straight seasons, but is 3-3 ATS in six road games this year, and we expect it to fall to 3-4 ATS in road games this week.
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Chargers vs. Raiders best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 | -3 |
| -105 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
As Raiders backers, the only thing separating our best sportsbooks is that DraftKings charges less than the standard juice to lay the field goal. Given that five of Los Angeles' eight losses have been by three or fewer points, we would not put anyone off backing the best Las Vegas moneyline odds.
However, the Chargers' last two losses have been by 10-plus points, so we are confident in laying the points. It may be worth waiting to see if the line moves off the key number to -2.5 or lower, but this would still be a play at -3 and a pass at -3.5 or higher.
Chargers vs. Raiders odds
Chargers vs. Raiders odds analysis
The point spread has increased a full point or half-point from its opening number at most of our best sports betting apps from -2 or -2.5, which is a significant move considering the spread landed on the key num ber.
The Chargers and Raiders have alternated covering the spread in their last five matchups, with Los Angeles covering as a 6.5-point favorite in a 24-17 home win in Week 4.
DraftKings is the only one of our best sports betting sites offering a total of 34, while all others are slightly lower at 33.5. FanDuel has seen the biggest change in line thus far, going from an opening number of 35.5 on Sunday night to 33.5 by Monday morning. The Under has received 67% of the early wagers thus far.
This is the second straight week where the Thursday Night Football game had a total in the low 30s, as last week's game between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers finished 21-18 and went Over the 31-point total.
Chargers vs. Raiders game info
- When: Thursday, Dec. 14 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
- How to watch: PRIME VIDEO
- Weather: Indoors
Chargers-Raiders prediction made 12/11/2023 at 6:36 a.m. ET
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