The Los Angeles Chargers (3-4) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets (4-3) on Nov. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in East Rutherford.
The Chargers are betting favorites in this Week 9 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The Chargers vs. Jets Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Chargers vs. Jets Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Jets will win this Week 9 game with 51.9% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jets will cover the spread with 76.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Chargers and Jets, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Chargers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chargers players this Week 9 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Gerald Everett has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh Palmer has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Justin Herbert has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
Best Jets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jets players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Corey Davis has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Zach Wilson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI)
- Garrett Wilson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+5.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Chargers Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have scored first in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Chargers have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.50 Units / 31% ROI)
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
Chargers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chargers went 3-4 (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).
- Chargers are 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -14.96% ROI
- Chargers are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Chargers are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / ROI
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets went 4-2 (+1.8 Units / 23.38% ROI).
- Jets are 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 36.84% ROI
- Jets are 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Jets are 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
Los Angeles Chargers: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Chargers are winless (0-3) when trailing at the end of the third quarter this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .161.
The Chargers are winless (0-3) when allowing 3 or more sacks this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .359.
The Chargers are winless (0-3) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .297.
The Chargers are 16-13 (.552) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .508.
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers
The Jets are undefeated (3-0) since Week 5 of the 2022 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jets are 1-5 (.167) after a home win since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .508.
The Jets are 2-3 (.400) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .279.
The Jets are 3-1 (.750) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .561.