The Central Michigan Chippewas (1-2) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (2-1) on Sep. 23. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EDT in Mobile.
South Alabama is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-115).
The Central Michigan vs. South Alabama Over/Under is 49.5 total points.
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Central Michigan vs South Alabama Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 84.6% confidence.
Central Michigan vs South Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 4
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Alabama will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Michigan and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Central Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Central Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.65 Units / 8% ROI)
South Alabama Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- South Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Best South Alabama Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for South Alabama players for Week 4, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carter Bradley has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Carter Bradley has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Caullin Lacy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Devin Voisin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Michigan is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).
- Central Michigan is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Central Michigan is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Central Michigan is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record
South Alabama is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- South Alabama is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 65% ROI
- South Alabama is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- South Alabama is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Central Michigan is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .559
Central Michigan is 3-8 (.231) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .401
Central Michigan is 1-6 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season– tied for 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .331
Central Michigan is 3-8 (.273) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2022 season– tied for 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .429
South Alabama is undefeated (9-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .420
South Alabama is 11-4 (.579) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .410
South Alabama is 10-2 (.714) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 19th-best in FBS; Average: .514
South Alabama is 10-1 (.769) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– 12th-best in FBS; Average: .528
South Alabama’s RBs have just 13.7 receiving yards per game this season — tied for 34th-worst among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense has allowed 371.3 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among FBS defenses.
South Alabama’s RBs has rushed for 586 yards on 100 carries (5.9 YPC) this season — tied for 23rd-best among FBS RBs. Central Michigan’s defense have allowed 5.8 YPC this season — tied for fourth-worst among NonP5 defenses.