The UCF Knights (2-0) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Fort Worth, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The UCF vs. TCU Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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UCF vs TCU Prediction:
The winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 54.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Central Florida and TCU, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
UCF vs TCU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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UCF Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- UCF has hit the Game Total Under in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- UCF have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- UCF has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 16% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 38% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for UCF players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best UCF Player Prop Bets Today
- RJ Harvey has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kobe Hudson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- RJ Harvey has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Johnny Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Xavier Townsend has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Josh Hoover has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Josh Hoover has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- Savion Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.05 Units / 105% ROI)
- JP Richardson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Drake Dabney has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
UCF Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Central Florida is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- UCF is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 7.12% ROI
- UCF is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 93.02% ROI
- UCF is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.25 Units / -100% ROI
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- TCU is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 33.33% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
UCF is winless (0-3) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .371
UCF is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .508
UCF is 2-7 (.222) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-36th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
UCF is 6-7 (.400) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-40th-worst in FBS; Average: .517
TCU is 16-8 (.615) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2022 season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .495
TCU is 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2022 season– T-36th-best in FBS; Average: .567
TCU is 2-7 (.222) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-29th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
TCU is 14-6 (.609) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– T-9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .415
TCU’s RBs has 2 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-15th-best among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense has allowed just 0.0 rushing touchdowns per game this season — T-best among Big 12 defenses.
TCU’s RBs has rushed for 218 yards on 56 carries (just 3.9 YPC) this season — T-34th-worst among FBS RBs. UCF’s defense have allowed just 2.3 YPC this season — 2nd-best among Big 12 defenses.