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CeeDee Lamb looks to build off an incredible year, and his Dallas Cowboys are opening the season against the Cleveland Browns.
When looking into your CeeDee Lamb NFL player props for Week 1, there are two main factors to consider. First is simply Lamb's talent. He led the league with 135 receptions last season while piling up 1,749 yards and 12 touchdowns. He was also tied for the league lead with 29 plays for 20-plus yards.
But the second factor is the Browns' defense. The team boasted the second-best unit last season while allowing fewer than 130 passing yards per game at home. So what will win out this week?
CeeDee Lamb prop predictions for Week 1
- CeeDee Lamb Under 82.5 receiving yards (-113 via FanDuel) ???
- CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5 receptions (-129 via Caesars) ????
- CeeDee Lamb longest reception Over 25.5 ya rds (-110 via BetMGM) ???
NFL odds as of Saturday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.
CeeDee Lamb player props
NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.
Like the rest of the Cowboys' offense, Lamb was much different on the road than when playing at home last campaign. Despite averaging over 100 yards per game last season, he recorded fewer than 80 receiving yards in five of his nine road games.
The Browns' pass defense was fantastic last year, especially at home. The unit allowed just 126.3 passing yards per game in Cleveland.
But the team still endured some rough games, which is one of the reasons this is only a three-star play. The other reason is Lamb. While he struggled on the road last year, the superstar did go for 191 yards in Philadelphia.
FanDuel is listing this total higher than any other sportsbook. The only other outlet among our best sportsbooks offering a better price is bet365, but that book is setting the total at 79.5. When taking a Lamb Under, you want every yard you can get to boost your Week 1 NFL predictions.
Both Phil Wood and Gary Pearson think Lamb's quarterback will struggle too in their Cowboys vs. Browns prediction and Cowboys vs. Browns player props.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.05%
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For all his struggles on the road last season, Lamb still found himself with the ball a lot.
He caught just four passes in each contest during his first three road games of the season. Then he snagged six-plus receptions in the six games after that, including 10 in two contests.
The Cowboys will do what they can to get the ball in Lamb's hands during this game, especially if they fall behind early. The receptions just aren't likely to produce many yards.
The price for this Over isn't great anywhere. Caesars is alone among our best sports betting sites while offering better than -130, and two sportsbooks are asking -140. While that may make it seem as though the value is on the Under, Lamb registered at least seven catches in nine games last season.
Best odds: -129 via Caesars | Implied probability: 56.33%
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Lamb tallied a play for at least 26 yards in 10 of his 17 games last season. His longest play was 47 yards during the playoffs.
He's too explosive to keep in check for a full 60 minutes. In four of the eight games last season when he failed to rack up 80-plus receiving yards, Lamb still managed to haul in one pass for at least 25 yards.
FanDuel is setting this prop at 24.5, but it's asking -120 for the Over. I don't believe one yard is worth that much, but that's an option for bettors looking to take a safer route. BetMGM and FanDuel are both asking -110 for over 25.5, the top price available at any of our best sports betting apps.
Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Cowboys vs. Browns odds
Cowboys vs. Browns game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 8
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Where: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: 67 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 15-mph winds
- Favorite: Browns (-130 via DraftKings)
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