The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Cardinals are 60-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 68-52 ATS.

Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-4, 3.98 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Emilio Pagan 2-3, 4.22 ERA

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+18.00 Units / 72% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Kyle Gibson has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 9 away games (+9.50 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 33 games (+26.10 Units / 79% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+16.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+15.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.25 Units / 35% ROI)
• TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 away games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 away games (+1.25 Units / 5% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.30 Units / 1% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 102 games (+14.00 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games at home (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 104 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 70 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-62 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.19% ROI).

• 60-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -7.77% ROI
• 57-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -5.46% ROI
• 58-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -3.7% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 68-52 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 6.37% ROI).

• 59-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -2.74% ROI
• 54-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -10.52% ROI
• 61-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.99% ROI

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 56% (267/480) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 126 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 58% (632/1,094) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 18% (87 SO in 495 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .163 against Emilio Pagan vs right-handed batters last season — fourth best among qualified RPs– 96th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .270 (37-for-137) against him in the 2022 season — tied for 13th worst among qualified RPs– 13th Percentile.

Emilio Pagan allowed a just .284 SLG vs right-handed batters last season — 10th best among qualified RPs– 90th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .555 vs right-handed batters in the 2022 season — second worst among qualified RPs– first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (45/162) against Emilio Pagan since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Emilio Pagan has allowed an OBP of just .224 (152 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among AL Relievers; League Avg: .307 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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