The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-135) on Tuesday, August 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 60-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 67-52 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-5, 3.28 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 8-4, 2.91 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+26.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+21.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 32 games (+27.10 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 61 away games (+4.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+3.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 away games (+1.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+12.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 103 games (+9.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+6.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (+6.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-61 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -5.13% ROI).
- 60-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -7.13% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -4.7% ROI
- 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -4.5% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 67-52 against the Run Line (+8.6 Units / 5.43% ROI).
- 58-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.95 Units / -3.46% ROI
- 54-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -9.81% ROI
- 60-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (399/799) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (398/680) in two strike counts this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 19% (28 SO in 146 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 60% (668/1,113) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (89-for-478) against Hunter Greene this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
57% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (76/200) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 31% (86/277) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.