The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Cardinals vs Red Sox Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 14-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 22-17 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Lars Nootbaar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.35 Units / 81% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
• Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+13.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+13.45 Units / 56% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.50 Units / 54% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.65 Units / 48% ROI)

Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 71% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 46% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 39 games (+15.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+6.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 16-23 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -20.46% ROI).

• 14-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.9 Units / -35.8% ROI
• 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.12% ROI
• 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -9.24% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 22-17 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 6.72% ROI).

• 22-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 15.99% ROI
• 26-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.95 Units / 30.51% ROI
• 12-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -39.27% ROI

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Steven Matz has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (43 Total Bases / 86 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .279 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .329 (24-for-73) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to April 15th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 9.

Opponents are hitting .279 (24-for-86) against Steven Matz with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .178 — second Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Chris Sale on low fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .278 — third Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (14 Total Bases / 16 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .449 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (57/111) against Chris Sale with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.

  
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