Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 23

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-46 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 5-4, 4.36 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-0, 1.90 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 89 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 51-49 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI).

  • 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.62% ROI
  • 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -7.59% ROI
  • 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.33% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-46 against the Run Line (+4.36 Units / 3.35% ROI).

  • 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.38% ROI
  • 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -9.9% ROI
  • 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.48 Units / 2.27% ROI

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -1000
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante (STL) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120
Mitch Keller (PIT) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

Lance Lynn has allowed 58 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .269 (110-for-409) against Lance Lynn when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 16th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (828/1,232) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.

24 of Lance Lynn’s 89 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Paul Skenes slider was June 11st. Hitters are 0 for their last 23 in ABs ending on his slider. — Tyler Holton has the longest active streak at 25.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (89 SO in 255 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.1 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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