Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 22

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-130) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 52-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-45 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-4, 4.18 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.50 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 38 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.15 Units / 86% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 55 games (+11.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 50-49 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.61% ROI).

  • 52-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -3.83% ROI
  • 46-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -6.61% ROI
  • 48-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -2.28% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-45 against the Run Line (+5.36 Units / 4.15% ROI).

  • 50-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.52% ROI
  • 45-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -8.96% ROI
  • 50-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.48 Units / 1.37% ROI

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Willson Contreras (STL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Andrew McCutchen (PIT) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Oneil Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Nick Gonzales (PIT) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andre Pallante (STL) 3.5 -150 3.5 +110
Mitch Keller (PIT) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .423 (248 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (156/205) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .341 (73-for-214) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (487/725) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (97/342) against Mitch Keller this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .216 (50-for-232) against Mitch Keller with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — sixth Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .338 (736 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — eighth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .281 (43-for-153) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — eighth Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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