The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Tuesday, July 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 43-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 44-39 ATS.

Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 5-3, 3.69 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 9-4, 3.23 ERA

Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 41% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 72 games (+17.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 42-41 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.28% ROI).

• 43-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -4.82% ROI
• 35-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.45 Units / -13.78% ROI
• 43-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 5.1% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 44-39 against the Run Line (+1.46 Units / 1.34% ROI).

• 40-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -4.9% ROI
• 37-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.8 Units / -9.57% ROI
• 42-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.13 Units / 2.35% ROI

Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (422/741) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (828/1,386) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (178/330) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Kyle Gibson has located his fastball up for a strike just 44% (77/176) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (46/138) against Mitch Keller this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 16 AB’s against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has struck out just 16% (33/209) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .272 (213 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 14th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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