The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Cardinals are 27-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 33-25 ATS.

Cardinals vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 7-2, 2.60 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 9-1, 1.78 ERA

Cardinals vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+14.75 Units / 148% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.15 Units / 72% ROI)
• Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.10 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games at home (+13.80 Units / 106% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 25% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 41 games (+24.10 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 43 games (+17.35 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 41 games (+16.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 42 games (+16.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 27-28 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -4.87% ROI).

• 27-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -7.65% ROI
• 23-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -13.24% ROI
• 28-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 5.07% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 33-25 against the Run Line (+8.65 Units / 12.21% ROI).

• 40-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 13.17% ROI
• 27-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -5.97% ROI
• 28-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -3.05% ROI

Phillies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .318 (106 Total Bases / 333 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 78% (18/23) against Sonny Gray on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .178 (58 Total Bases / 326 ABs) on sliders since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 151 total IP; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (34 Total Bases / 256 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .394 — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of 80% (144/181) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .088 (12-for-137) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — 97th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .296 (151 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .475 — 97th Percentile.

Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .124 (17 Total Bases / 137 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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