The St. Louis Cardinals (-155) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+130) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Cardinals are 35-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 28-43 ATS.

Cardinals vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 8-4, 3.02 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 2-2, 6.17 ERA

Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 away games (+20.90 Units / 91% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
• Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI)
• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+20.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+9.90 Units / 17% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 47% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.10 Units / 42% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+4.60 Units / 6% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 56 games (+3.55 Units / 5% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 66 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games (+9.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games at home (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 36-34 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -2.08% ROI).

• 35-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -6.71% ROI
• 27-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.8 Units / -19.47% ROI
• 38-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 11.19% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 28-43 against the Run Line (-29.26 Units / -29.95% ROI).

• 23-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -29.36% ROI
• 37-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 1.67% ROI
• 33-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -9.33% ROI

Marlins vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .104 (29-for-280) against Sonny Gray on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 43% (27 SO in 63 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (66/169) against Sonny Gray this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .419 (478 PA’s) on non-fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .653 — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (417/879) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 5 of 168 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 33 of 796 batters (4%) since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 36% (10/28) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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