Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb. 26
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb. 26

The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium to take on the Miami Marlins (-105) on Monday, February 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:10pm EST in Jupiter, FL.

Last season, the Cardinals were 71-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins were 74-90 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luken Baker has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+3.80 Units / 190% ROI)
  • Juniel Querecuto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juniel Querecuto has hit the Singles Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Irving Lopez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Peyton Burdick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.40 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.50 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Jacob Amaya has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Garrett Hampson has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Cardinals went 78-84 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -6.98% ROI).

  • 71-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -32.5 Units / -16.02% ROI
  • 76-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -6.04% ROI
  • 79-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -2.36% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Marlins went 74-90 against the Run Line (-35.7 Units / -16.31% ROI).

  • 84-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • 74-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -10.01% ROI
  • 84-74 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 1.33% ROI

Sem Robberse is making his MLB debut today.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Eury Perez allowed a slugging percentage of .758 (47 Total Bases / 62 ABs) on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (19/129) against Eury Perez’s fastball in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% (63/233) against Eury Perez in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (27/52) against Eury Perez on inside fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

  
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