Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21
Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 21

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Cardinals vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Cardinals are 8-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 8-11 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Willson Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+8.40 Units / 168% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.20 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kolten Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 66% ROI)

Mariners vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +1050 0.5
AJ Pollock 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

Mariners vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -140 0.5 +110
AJ Pollock 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +275 0.5 -400
AJ Pollock 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Mariners vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +115 5.5 -150
Steven Matz 5.5 -145 5.5 +110

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.40 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.60 Units / 8% ROI)

  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -17.98% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -27.01% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -14.08% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 4.71% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -16.39% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.15 Units / -22.04% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 5.42% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -14.25% ROI

Opponents are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against Steven Matz’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .227 — first Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed an OBP of .433 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.

Steven Matz has allowed an OPS of .933 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .510 — second Percentile.

The last hit on a Steven Matz fastball was April 10th. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his fastball. — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 25.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .325 (75-for-231) against George Kirby’s non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .328 (60-for-183) against George Kirby’s curve and slider since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .222 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (72/453) against George Kirby on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

  
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