The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 66-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-50 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 19 away games (+13.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 42 of his last 80 games (+20.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+12.30 Units / 72% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 55 of his last 83 games (+12.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 52 games at home (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 41 games (+17.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games at home (+13.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games at home (+4.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 66-51 against the Run Line (+12.85 Units / 8.77% ROI).
- 66-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 5.46% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 68-50 against the Run Line (+14.6 Units / 9.59% ROI).
- 54-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -3.26% ROI
- 51-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -13.22% ROI
- 62-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.79% ROI
Dakota Hudson: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 18% (87/488) against Dakota Hudson this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (87/278) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 59% (274/462) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 0 Percentile.
Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 56% (504/903) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
28 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
28 of Madison Bumgarner’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
59 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (58/380) against Madison Bumgarner this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.