Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 16
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun. 16

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Cardinals are 34-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 35-36 ATS.

Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 4-6, 4.87 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-2, 3.09 ERA

Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 away games (+21.90 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+19.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+14.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games at home (+3.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 35-34 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -3.2% ROI).

  • 34-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -8.1% ROI
  • 27-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.75 Units / -18.35% ROI
  • 37-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 10.03% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 35-36 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -9.36% ROI).

  • 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.6% ROI
  • 30-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -16.52% ROI
  • 39-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 7.96% ROI

Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450

Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Miguel Amaya (CHC) 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Nolan Gorman (STL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185

Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jameson Taillon (CHC) 4.5 +100 4.5 -130
Miles Mikolas (STL) 4.5 +105 4.5 -140

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .543 (88 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .347 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (91/546) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (44/288) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .403 (58 Total Bases / 144 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .500 (8-for-16) against Jameson Taillon when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (9/122 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of .529 (17 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has walked 12 of 451 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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