The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-140) on Wednesday, September 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Cardinals vs Brewers Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 90-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 65-88 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Quintana has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games at home (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Eric Lauer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Freddy Peralta has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 9 games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 46 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.10 Units / 56% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Brewers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 85-69 against the Run Line (+10.7 Units / 5.53% ROI).
- 90-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 3.77% ROI
- 73-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -7.02% ROI
- 77-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -1.7% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 65-88 against the Run Line (-30.75 Units / -16.66% ROI).
- 82-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -8.52% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.75 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -5.46% ROI
Jose Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has walked 1 of 91 batters (1%) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 63% (1,633/2,605) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — sixth Percentile.
Jose Quintana has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (354/694) of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has not allowed a HR in any of his last nine starts dating back to August 10th — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 13.
Brandon Woodruff: Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (191/408) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has a strikeout rate of 72% (21 SO in 29 PAs) with two-strikes — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has struck out 34% (90/262) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 53% (102/191) against Brandon Woodruff on changeups this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.