The St. Louis Cardinals (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Saturday, May 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cardinals are 15-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 21-17 ATS.
Cardinals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 2-2, 3.68 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-1, 3.53 ERA
Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+16.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+16.60 Units / 166% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 games (+18.30 Units / 131% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+17.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 38 games (+16.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+9.40 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 18-20 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -8.37% ROI).
- 15-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -23.83% ROI
- 14-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -24.7% ROI
- 22-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 16.49% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 21-17 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 1.09% ROI).
- 23-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 20.61% ROI
- 23-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 16.57% ROI
- 15-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -23.96% ROI
Brewers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dylan Carlson (STL) | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Brewers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has allowed a slugging percentage of .818 (18 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.